Reports
Monthly report
September 2026
September 2026 confirmed Iran's strategic theory of the conflict
six months of absorbing US strikes made Tehran more confident, not less, and by September 12 Iran-aligned forces held kinetic leverage over both the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb simultaneously, a…
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Q3 2026
The defining realignment of Q3 2026 is the collapse of the American security guarantee as credible infrastructure for the Muslim World, made irreversible by documented…
PDF ↓Summit report
G7 Foreign Ministers Informal Meeting, New York
The G7 Foreign Ministers' informal coordination at UNGA 2026 produced a single formal output naming Iran as the source of regional instability, but the summit's decisive…
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7th Conference of the Parties to the Tehran Convention on the Environment of the Caspian Sea, Tehran, Iran
COP7 revealed that Iran is using the Tehran Convention's environmental track to anchor its Caspian sovereignty claims while its parliament remains the sole obstacle to…
PDF ↓Summit report
18th BRICS Summit, New Delhi, India
The 18th BRICS Summit in New Delhi confirmed that BRICS has become the institutional architecture for states resisting US-led pressure
Iran's president sat at a multilateral table alongside US satellites while his country remained at active war with the United States, and the bloc's unanimous declaration gave institutional endorsement to the…
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13th Summit of the Organization of Turkic States, Turkey (city TBC)
The September 9-10, 2026 OTS ministerial cluster confirmed that the Organization of Turkic States has evolved from a cultural coordination body into an active…
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Shanghai Cooperation Organization Summit, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan
The SCO's 25th anniversary summit in Bishkek produced the most consequential multilateral legitimation of Iran's war-time position since the US-Iran conflict began
nine member states including India signed the Bishkek Declaration condemning US military strikes on Iran as violations of the UN Charter, directly undercutting Washington's claim to international legality at…
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August 2026
American military capacity reached its documented ceiling in August 2026
THAAD and Patriot interceptors were depleted through April 2027, the entire tactical ballistic missile inventory was expended, and Washington pivoted from airstrikes to economic warfare while the Strait of…
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July 2026
July 2026 was defined by the collapse of the Islamabad ceasefire and the resumption of full-scale US-Iran war at a scope the June iteration never reached
CENTCOM struck 90+ Iranian targets in the first week alone, severed Iran's railway link to Russia and China, and conducted more than twelve consecutive nights of bombardment while the IRGC expanded retaliation…
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UN-OIC General Meeting on Cooperation, Geneva, Switzerland
The 17th UN-OIC General Cooperation Meeting in Geneva confirmed that the multilateral architecture governing UN-OIC relations cannot produce binding political outcomes…
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OIC Council of Foreign Ministers Meeting, Islamabad, Pakistan
The 9th OIC Ministerial Conference on Women in Islamabad on July 12-13 revealed the Muslim world's premier multilateral institution as structurally incapable of…
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OIC Ministerial Conference on Women, Islamabad, Pakistan
The 9th OIC Ministerial Conference on Women revealed the organization's foundational contradiction
it cannot compel the Taliban, an active OIC member government, to send a single woman to a conference on women's rights, while simultaneously adopting a non-binding declaration pledging rights for all 1.8…
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36th NATO Summit, Ankara, Turkey
The 36th NATO Summit in Ankara revealed that the alliance is fracturing on the axis of the US-Iran war
Spain, France, and Italy denied Washington use of their bases and airspace for offensive operations against Iran, exposing a structural split between a US determined to prosecute a unilateral war in Muslim…
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Q2 2026
In the second quarter of 2026 the post-American Middle East stopped being a forecast and became an operational reality
The US war on Iran moved through three stages, from outbreak and a 95 percent collapse of Hormuz traffic in April, through structural hardening and the first Gulf satellite revolt in May, to open direct…
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June 2026
June 2026 was the month the US-Iran war crossed into direct state-on-state exchange, the most significant escalation in the Muslim world since the 2003 invasion of Iraq,…
PDF ↓Half-year review
H1 2026
The half that Firasa can document opened with a war already burning and closed with that war formally ended and nothing that drove it resolved, and the structural change…
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G7 Summit, Evian, France
The Evian G7 dressed a season of US management of Muslim lands as peace
On camera Trump described Syria's president as a man he and Erdogan installed, traded the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and 300 billion dollars for Iranian restraint, and instructed Israel to hand its…
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May 2026
In May the US war on Iran stopped being a war and became a structural reordering of the region
Three movements defined the month, each corroborated across the daily record by convergent reporting: Iran converted the Strait of Hormuz from a wartime blockade into a permanently monetized sovereign…
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